Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.032586 0.037975 0.043908 0.050915 0.058955 0.067880 0.078530
2025-08-31 0.023768 0.030582 0.038782 0.049339 0.062531 0.078427 0.098986
2025-09-07 0.019411 0.027211 0.037346 0.051390 0.070244 0.094562 0.128171
2025-09-14 0.015605 0.023635 0.034810 0.051339 0.074972 0.107318 0.154654
2025-09-21 0.012448 0.020242 0.031790 0.049911 0.077330 0.116888 0.177783
2025-09-28 0.010288 0.017852 0.029716 0.049351 0.080603 0.127852 0.203907
2025-10-05 0.009293 0.017079 0.029919 0.052181 0.089206 0.147490 0.244962
2025-10-12 0.008301 0.016107 0.029602 0.054041 0.096378 0.165552 0.285373
2025-10-19 0.006970 0.014279 0.027523 0.052563 0.097721 0.174244 0.311409
2025-10-26 0.006018 0.012975 0.026145 0.052066 0.100578 0.185588 0.342815
2025-11-02 0.005097 0.011557 0.024327 0.050462 0.101173 0.192964 0.367932
2025-11-09 0.004360 0.010379 0.022778 0.049123 0.102020 0.200748 0.394354
2025-11-16 0.003846 0.009599 0.021940 0.049127 0.105545 0.213980 0.432465
2025-11-23 0.003296 0.008635 0.020568 0.047837 0.106342 0.222152 0.461909
2025-11-30 0.003081 0.008420 0.020786 0.049953 0.114342 0.245052 0.521981
2025-12-07 0.002744 0.007841 0.020094 0.049965 0.117893 0.259428 0.566518
2025-12-14 0.002370 0.007089 0.018878 0.048604 0.118277 0.267338 0.598644
2025-12-21 0.002093 0.006543 0.018068 0.048073 0.120425 0.279099 0.639790
2025-12-28 0.002015 0.006532 0.018594 0.050843 0.130457 0.308666 0.721334
2026-01-04 0.001895 0.006380 0.018733 0.052662 0.138447 0.334479 0.796965
2026-01-11 0.001652 0.005805 0.017657 0.051222 0.138410 0.342344 0.833671
2026-01-18 0.001475 0.005401 0.016982 0.050737 0.140659 0.355600 0.883631
2026-01-25 0.001284 0.004905 0.015962 0.049172 0.139977 0.361932 0.918218